心灰意冷的杜特尔特，想要保全家人只剩一个选择？
心灰意冷的杜特尔特，想要保全家人只剩一个选择？
“让他参选，让人民来决定，如果有法律问题，就让法庭来解决。”菲律宾前总统杜特尔特的一位盟友，刚刚要求他出山。
在菲律宾总统小马科斯的带头“围剿”下，曾经风光无限的杜特尔特家族，如今的处境已经越来越艰难，杜特尔特本人似乎都有些心灰意冷。在这种背景下，杜特尔特的铁杆盟友、菲律宾前众议长阿尔瓦雷斯给出了开头那句话。
【杜特尔特和他的盟友阿尔瓦雷斯】
阿尔瓦雷斯会这么说，在一定程度上是受到了特朗普赢下美国大选的鼓舞。不过他也清楚，杜特尔特想要重新加入总统选举，可能会面临一些麻烦，因为菲律宾1987年宪法中规定，总统任期的时间为6年，不得连任。
说起来，这条规定和现总统小马科斯还真有一些联系。因为小马科斯的父亲、菲律宾前总统老马科斯的执政饱受争议。因而在老马科斯被赶下台后，就有了这条限制性的条款。
不过，这项条款本身其实也存在争议，关键在于所谓的“不能连任”，指的究竟是不能连续担任，还是只要当过总统就不能再当。在2010年的时候，菲律宾第13任总统埃斯特拉达参加了第15任总统的选举。这个问题当时还被闹到了菲律宾最高法院。
【阿尔瓦雷斯称，让杜特尔特再次竞选总统】
最后的结果是，随着埃斯特拉达的败选，问题本身已经没了意义。菲律宾最高法院也没有给出一个明确说法。
然而在呼吁杜特尔特重出江湖、角逐最高权力的阿尔瓦雷斯看来，所谓的“不能连任”对于前总统应该是无效的。他认为，如果真的相信民主，这个问题就应该由菲律宾人民来决定。
事实上，在杜特尔特是否能连任这件事情上，相关条款的解释权只是麻烦之一，关键在于杜特尔特本人的心气，似乎已经没有之前那么足了。
【杜特尔特出席听证会】
这名曾经的菲律宾总统近日向自己的女儿、菲律宾副总统萨拉喊话，希望她远离政治，平平安安地过完后面的人生。他还表示，自己不打算竞选达沃市市长了，领导达沃市的人，也不一定来自杜特尔特家族。
杜特尔特这番隐隐有“交代身后事”意思的话，不出意料地在菲律宾引发了轩然大波。要知道就在不久前，他才刚刚宣布重新出山竞选市长，传达出坚决斗争的意思。但到了现在，杜特尔特却释放了完全不同的信号。
这期间究竟发生了什么，外界暂时恐怕不得而知。但再让这个状态的杜特尔特，重新去冲击菲律宾总统，恐怕是一件不太可行的事情。
【杜特尔特此前宣布参加中期选举】
然而不可否认的是，阿尔瓦雷斯的这个建议，其实是杜特尔特为数不多的“生路”。
小马科斯近日宣布，如果国际刑事法院打算逮捕杜特尔特，他不会出面阻止。菲律宾政府随后宣布，如果真的出现了上述情况，菲律宾执法机构将“有义务予以配合”。毫无疑问，到了现在，菲律宾国内有些人已经毫不掩饰，要用国际刑事法院搞倒杜特尔特的想法。
在此前，小马科斯政府曾在表面上拒绝国际刑事法院插手，声称对杜特尔特的调查是菲律宾自己的事情。然而有消息称，小马科斯政府也在偷偷给国际刑事法院开绿灯。从最新的情况来看，相关计划很可能已经有了进展。
【萨拉的幕僚长祖莱卡·洛佩兹】
除此之外，杜特尔特女儿的日子也并不好过。近日，菲律宾众议院下令拘留了萨拉的幕僚长祖莱卡·洛佩兹，理由是此人“过度干涉诉讼程序”“藐视法庭”，时间直到针对萨拉的下一次调查日期。洛佩兹是萨拉手下最高级别的官员之一，她被拘留对于萨拉来说无疑是一个沉重的打击。
可以清楚地看到，虽然杜特尔特萌生了退意，甚至是释放了“服软”的信号，但反杜特尔特势力对于他们的针对和打压不仅没有停下，反而在变本加厉。
在这种你死我活的政治斗争中，退一步真的会海阔天空吗？行走政坛这么多年的杜特尔特自己应该很清楚。
【菲律宾总统小马科斯】
换而言之，杜特尔特想要保住自己和家族，就必须要拿出让小马科斯忌惮的东西，这也是他之前出山竞选达沃市市长的逻辑。因为如果能重新成为地方大员、明面上掌控自己的大本营，小马科斯再想动杜特尔特，就不一定这么容易。
如果真的按照阿尔瓦雷斯的鼓励，杜特尔特能重新夺回总统位置，局面更是会截然不同。
然而所有人都清楚，杜特尔特想要重新成为总统，难度是非常大的，她的女儿萨拉倒是有可能。但无论怎么说，对于自己和整个家族的命运，杜特尔特可要好好考虑了，因为现在的局势或许已经危险到，走错任何一步都可能万劫不复。
Disappointed Duterte, only one choice left to save his family?
Let him run, let the people decide, and if there are legal issues, let the courts solve them, "said an ally of former Philippine president Duterte, who just called on him to step forward.
Under the leadership of Philippine President Marcos, the once glorious Duterte family is now facing increasingly difficult circumstances, and Duterte himself seems somewhat disheartened. In this context, former Philippine House Speaker Alvarez, a staunch ally of Duterte, gave the opening sentence.
Picture of Duterte and his ally Alvarez
Alvarez's statement is partly inspired by Trump's victory in the US election. However, he is also aware that Duterte may face some trouble if he wants to rejoin the presidential election, as the 1987 Philippine Constitution stipulates that the presidential term is six years and cannot be re elected.
Speaking of which, this regulation has some connection with the current president Marcos. Because the governance of Marcos' father, former Philippine President Marcos Sr., has been controversial. Therefore, this restrictive clause came into effect after Old Marcos was ousted from office.
However, this provision itself is also controversial, and the key lies in whether the so-called "non renewable term" refers to the inability to serve continuously or the inability to serve as president as long as one has served before. In 2010, the 13th President of the Philippines, Estrada, participated in the election for the 15th President. This issue was also brought up to the Supreme court of the Philippines at that time.
Image: Alvarez claims to let Duterte run for president again
The final result is that with Estrada's defeat, the issue itself has lost its meaning. The Supreme Court of the Philippines has also not provided a clear statement.
However, in the view of Alvarez, who is calling for Duterte to return to the arena and compete for the highest power, the so-called "inability to be re elected" should be ineffective for the former president. He believes that if we truly believe in democracy, this issue should be decided by the Filipino people.
In fact, the power to interpret the relevant provisions regarding whether Duterte can be re elected is only one of the troubles, and the key lies in Duterte's own morale, which seems to be less than before.
Picture of Duterte attending the hearing
The former Philippine president recently called on his daughter, Vice President Sara, to stay away from politics and live a peaceful life for the rest of her life. He also stated that he does not intend to run for mayor of Davao City, and the person leading Davao City may not necessarily come from the Duterte family.
Duterte's vague words with the intention of "confessing his affairs" have unsurprisingly caused a huge uproar in the Philippines. You should know that not long ago, he just announced his candidacy for mayor again, conveying his intention to fight fiercely. But now, Duterte has sent a completely different signal.
What happened during this period is currently unknown to the outside world. But it may not be feasible for Duterte, who is in this state, to once again challenge the Philippine president.
Picture: Duterte announces his participation in the midterm elections
However, it cannot be denied that Alvarez's suggestion is actually one of Duterte's few "ways out".
Marcos recently announced that if the International Criminal Court intends to arrest Duterte, he will not intervene to stop it. The Philippine government subsequently announced that if the above situation really occurs, Philippine law enforcement agencies will have an obligation to cooperate. Undoubtedly, by now, some people in the Philippines have made no secret of their intention to use the International Criminal Court to overthrow Duterte.
Prior to this, the Marcos administration had superficially refused the intervention of the International Criminal Court, claiming that the investigation into Duterte was the Philippines' own business. However, there are reports that the Marcos government is also secretly giving the green light to the International Criminal Court. From the latest situation, it is likely that there has been progress in the relevant plans.
Picture of Zuleka Lopez, Chief of staff of Sarah
Besides, Duterte's daughter's life is not easy either. Recently, the Philippine House of Representatives ordered the detention of Zuleka Lopez, Sarah's chief of staff, on the grounds of "excessive interference in the litigation process" and "contempt of court" until the next investigation date against Sarah. Lopez is one of the highest ranking officials under Sarah's command, and her detention is undoubtedly a heavy blow to Sarah.
It can be clearly seen that although Duterte has shown signs of withdrawal and even sent a signal of "yielding", the anti Duterte forces have not stopped targeting and suppressing them, but have instead intensified.
In this life and death political struggle, will taking a step back really broaden the horizon? Duterte, who has been in politics for so many years, should be very clear about it himself.
Picture of Philippine President Marcos Jr
In other words, if Duterte wants to protect himself and his family, he must come up with something that makes Marcos wary, which is also the logic behind his previous campaign for mayor of Davao City. Because if he can become a local official again and openly control his stronghold, it may not be so easy for Marcos to try to move Duterte.
If Duterte were to regain the presidency according to Alvarez's encouragement, the situation would be completely different.
However, everyone knows that it will be very difficult for Duterte to become president again, and her daughter Sarah may have a chance. But no matter what, Duttert must carefully consider his own fate and that of the entire family, because the current situation may have become dangerous, and taking any wrong step could lead to irreparable harm.
1. Alvarez's statement is partly inspired by Trump's victory in the US election. However, he is also aware that Duterte may face some trouble if he wants to rejoin the presidential election, as the 1987 Philippine Constitution stipulates that the presidential term is six years and cannot be re elected.
句子成分分析：
Alvarez's statement is [partly] inspired [by Trump's victory] [in the US election].
[However], he is [also] aware | that Duterte may face some trouble || if he wants to rejoin the presidential election, || as the 1987 Philippine Constitution stipulates | that the presidential term is six years and cannot be re elected.
句子语法结构详解：
(cannot = can not)
* 第1个 is 为助动词。
* inspired 为谓语，采用一般现在时和被动语态。
* 第2个 is 为系动词作谓语，采用一般现在时。
* aware 为形容词作表语。
* 第1个 that 为连词，引导宾语从句。
* face 为谓语。
* if 为连词，引导条件状语从句。
* wants 为谓语，采用一般现在时。动词采用第三人称单数形式。
* to rejoin 为不定式，作宾语。
* as 为连词，引导状语从句。
* stipulates 为谓语，采用一般现在时。动词采用第三人称单数形式。
* 第2个 that 为连词，引导宾语从句。
* 第3个 is 为系动词作谓语，采用一般现在时。
* be 为系动词作谓语。
* elected 为过去分词，作后置定语。
* may, can 为情态动词。he 为人称代词主格。us 为人称代词宾格。Alvarez's, Trump's 为名词所有格。the 为定冠词。
句子相关词汇解释：
Vocabulary:
| statement ['steitmәnt] | n. | 1) 声明，报告，陈述 2) 说法，说明 |
| partly ['pɑ:tli] | ad. | 部分地, 在一定程度上 |
| inspire [in'spaiә] | vt. | 1) 激励，鼓舞 2) 赋予灵感，激发想法（尤指艺术的或虚构的），启发，启示 |
| trump [trʌmp] | n. | 1) （某些纸牌游戏的一张）王牌，主牌，将牌 2) (trumps)（某些纸牌游戏的）王牌花色，主牌花色 |
| victory ['viktәri] | n. | 胜利，成功 |
| US [ʌs] | abbr | ( = United States) 美国 |
| election [i'lekʃәn] | n. | 1) 选举 2) 当选 |
| however [hau'evә] | ad. | 1) 然而, 仍然 2) 无论如何,不管怎样, 究竟怎样 3) (与形容词和副词连用) 不管多么 |
| also ['ɔ:lsәu] | ad. | 而且；此外；也；同样 |
| aware [ә'wєә] | a. | 1) 知道，意识到，明白 2) 察觉到，发觉，发现 |
| face [feis] | vt. | 1) 面对，面向，正对 2) 面临，必须对付（某情况） |
| some [sʌm] | a. | 1) 一些 2) 某一, 某个 |
| trouble ['trʌbl] | n. | 1) 问题，困难，苦恼 2) 疾病，病痛 |
| if [if] | conj. | 1) 如果, 倘若 2) 是否 |
| want [wɔnt] | vt. | 1) 要，想要，希望 2) 需要 |
| rejoin [ri'dʒɔin] | vt. | 使再结合, 再加入, 回答 |
| presidential [,prezi'denʃәl] | a. | 总统制的, 总统的, 首长的, 统辖的 |
| as [æz] | conj. | 1) 由于, 因为 2) 当...时, 在...期间, 随着... |
| Philippine ['filipi:n] | a. | 1) 菲律宾的 2) 菲律宾人的 |
| constitution [,kɔnsti'tju:ʃәn] | n. | 宪法 |
| stipulate ['stipjuleit] | vt. | 规定，明确要求 |
| term [tә:m] | n. | 1) 词语，术语 2) 期间，期限，任期 3) (terms)(协议等)条件,条款 |
| six [siks] | num | 六 |
| year [jiә] | n. | 1) 年 2) 一年时间 |
| and [ænd] | conj. | 1) 和, 与, 同, 并 2) 然后，接着 |
| RE | n. | 宗教教育(全写为 religious education，学校里讲授不同宗教知识的课程) |
| elect [i'lekt] | vt. | 选举，推选 |
句子相关学习点：
as, when, while 的区别 can 与 be able to 的区别
2. In fact, the power to interpret the relevant provisions regarding whether Duterte can be re elected is only one of the troubles, and the key lies in Duterte's own morale, which seems to be less than before.
句子成分分析：
[In fact], the power to interpret the relevant provisions [regarding {whether Duterte can be re elected}] is [only] one (of the troubles), and the key lies [in Duterte's own morale, (which seems to be less || than before)].
句子语法结构详解：
* to interpret 为不定式，作后置定语。
* whether 为连词，引导宾语从句。
* 第1个 be 为系动词作谓语。
* elected 为过去分词，作后置定语。
* is 为系动词作谓语，采用一般现在时。
* which 为关系代词，引导非限制性定语从句。
* seems 为谓语，采用一般现在时。动词采用第三人称单数形式。
* to be 为不定式，作状语。
* 第2个 be 为系动词。
* than 为连词，引导比较状语从句。句子有省略。
* can 为情态动词。Duterte's 为名词所有格。the 为定冠词。
句子相关词汇解释：
Phrase:
| in fact | 实际上 |
Vocabulary:
| power ['pauә] | n. | 1) 力，力量，能量 2) 控制力，影响力，操纵力 |
| interpret [in'tә:prit] | vt. | 1) 诠释，说明 2) 把……理解为，领会 |
| relevant ['relivәnt] | a. | 1) 有价值的，有意义的 2) 紧密相关的，切题的 |
| provision [prә'viʒәn] | n. | 1) 提供，供给，给养，供应品 2) （为将来做的）准备 |
| regarding [ri'gɑ:diŋ] | prep. | 关于；至于 |
| whether ['hweðә] | conj. | 1) 是否 2) 不管...(还是)， 不论...(还是) |
| RE | n. | 宗教教育(全写为 religious education，学校里讲授不同宗教知识的课程) |
| elect [i'lekt] | vt. | 选举，推选 |
| only ['әunli] | ad. | 只; 仅; 仅仅 |
| one [wʌn] | pron | 1) 一个人(或物) 2) (代表前面提到的,避免重复) |
| trouble ['trʌbl] | n. | 1) 问题，困难，苦恼 2) 疾病，病痛 |
| and [ænd] | conj. | 1) 和, 与, 同, 并 2) 然后，接着 |
| key [ki:] | a. | 最重要的，主要的，关键的 |
| lie [lai] | n. | 谎，谎言 |
| own [әun] | a. | 1) 自己的，本人的 2) 自己做的，为自己的 |
| morale [mɔ'rɑ:l] | n. | 士气 |
| seem [si:m] | vi. | 1) 好像，似乎，看来 2) （缓和语气）感到好像，觉得似乎 |
| less [les] | pron | 较少，更少 |
| than [ðæn] | conj. | 比 |
| before [bi'fɔ:] | ad. | 以前; 过去 |
句子相关学习点：
can 与 be able to 的区别 one 作代词的用法 try to do sth 和 try doing sth 的区别
3. However, there are reports that the Marcos government is also secretly giving the green light to the International Criminal Court. From the latest situation, it is likely that there has been progress in the relevant plans.
句子成分分析：
[However], there are reports (that the Marcos government is [also] [secretly] giving the green light to the International Criminal Court).
[From the latest situation], it is likely | that there has been progress [in the relevant plans].
句子语法结构详解：
(latest 为 late 的最高级形式)
* 第1个 there 引导 there be ... 句型, 表示“有”的意思。
* are 为系动词作谓语，采用一般现在时。
* 第1个 that 为连词，引导同位语从句。
* 第1个 is 为助动词。
* giving 为谓语，采用现在进行时。
* it 为先行主语，代表后移的主语从句。
* 第2个 is 为系动词作谓语，采用一般现在时。
* likely 为形容词作表语。
* 第2个 that 引导主语从句。
* 第2个 there 引导 there be ... 句型, 表示“有”的意思。
* been 为系动词作谓语，采用现在完成时。
* has 为助动词。the 为定冠词。
句子相关词汇解释：
Phrase:
| give...to... | 把...给... |
| green light | 准许；许可；绿灯 |
Vocabulary:
| however [hau'evә] | ad. | 1) 然而, 仍然 2) 无论如何,不管怎样, 究竟怎样 3) (与形容词和副词连用) 不管多么 |
| report [ri'pɔ:t] | n. | 1) 报告，汇报，记述 2) 报道 |
| government ['gʌvәnmәnt] | n. | 1) 政府 2) 政体 |
| also ['ɔ:lsәu] | ad. | 而且；此外；也；同样 |
| secretly ['si:kritli] | ad. | 秘密地, 背地里 |
| international [,intә'næʃәnәl] | a. | 国际的 |
| criminal ['kriminәl] | a. | 1) 刑法的，刑事的 2) 犯罪的，犯法的，涉及犯罪的 |
| court [kɔ:t] | n. | 1) 法庭，法院 2) 庭院，院子 |
| late [leit] | a. | 1) (latest)最新的，最近的 2) 晚的，迟的 |
| situation [,sitju'eiʃәn] | n. | 1) 情况，状况， 形势 2) 地点，地理位置 |
| likely ['laikli] | a. | 1) 可能的，预料的，有希望的 2) 似乎合适的，仿佛恰当的 |
| progress ['prәugres] | n. | 1) 进展，进步 2) 前进，行进 |
| relevant ['relivәnt] | a. | 1) 有价值的，有意义的 2) 紧密相关的，切题的 |
| plan [plæn] | n. | 1) 计划，打算 2) （详细）规划，方案，精心安排 |
4. But no matter what, Duttert must carefully consider his own fate and that of the entire family, because the current situation may have become dangerous, and taking any wrong step could lead to irreparable harm.
句子成分分析：
But no matter what, || Duttert must carefully consider his own fate and that (of the entire family), || because the current situation may have become dangerous, || and taking any wrong step could lead to irreparable harm.
句子语法结构详解：
(become 为过去分词，与其动词原形拼写相同。)
* no matter 引导让步状语从句。
* Duttert 开头为陈述句。
* consider 为谓语。
* because 为连词，引导原因状语从句。
* become 为系动词作谓语，采用完成时态。
* dangerous 为形容词作表语。
* 第2个 and 为并列连词，连接并列句。
* taking 为动名词，在句中作主语。
* lead 为谓语。
* must, may, can 为情态动词。his 为形容词型物主代词。that 为指示代词。have 为助动词。the 为定冠词。
句子相关词汇解释：
Phrase:
| no matter | 不管; 无论 |
| lead to... | 1) 导致..., 造成... 2) 通向..., 通往... |
Vocabulary:
| but [bʌt] | conj. | 1) 但是 2) 而, 却 |
| carefully ['kєәfuli] | ad. | 小心地, 谨慎地 |
| consider [kәn'sidŋ] | vt. | 1) 考虑，细想 2) 认为，视为 |
| own [әun] | a. | 1) 自己的，本人的 2) 自己做的，为自己的 |
| fate [feit] | n. | 1) 命运，天意 2) 命中注定之事 |
| and [ænd] | conj. | 1) 和, 与, 同, 并 2) 然后，接着 |
| that [ðæt] | pron | 1) 那(个) 2) (在句中作关系代词, 连接从句) |
| entire [in'taiә] | a. | （用以强调）全部的，整个的，完全的 |
| family ['fæmәli] | n. | 1) 家庭 2) 亲属 |
| because [bi'kɔ:z] | conj. | 因为 |
| current ['kʌrәnt] | a. | 1) 当前的，现在的，现时发生的 2) 通用的，流通的，流行的 |
| situation [,sitju'eiʃәn] | n. | 1) 情况，状况， 形势 2) 地点，地理位置 |
| become [bi'kʌm] | vi. | 变化，变成 |
| dangerous ['deindʒәrәs] | a. | 有危险的，引起危险的，不安全的 |
| take [teik] | vt. | 1) 采取(某步聚, 某行动) 2) 拿，抱, 握，取, 抓住 3) 携带, 运载 |
| any ['eni] | a. | 任何的, 任一的 |
| wrong [rɔŋ] | a. | 1) 错误的，不对的，不正确的 2) 出错，搞错，有错误 |
| step [step] | n. | 1) 步骤， 阶段 2) 步，脚步，步伐 3) 台阶,阶梯 |
| irreparable [i'repәrәbl] | a. | (损失、伤害等)无法弥补的；不能修复的；不可恢复的 |
| harm [hɑ:m] | n. | 损害，伤害 |
句子相关学习点：
cost, spend, take 的区别 can 与 be able to 的区别
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